Monday, July 16, 2012

Aluminum Production vs. Debt


Click to enlarge.

I think the ride may be over. As of 2010, we were roughly 10% below the trend line (0.99 correlation notwithstanding).


Click to enlarge.

That's 10,500 square feet of aluminum foil. I shouldn't need to buy any more in my lifetime more than likely. This is not a hyperinflation story to me. I just think the aluminum will probably treat me better than 0.1% treasury bills held long-term. As an added bonus, I won't have to pay tax on any inflationary gains.

Ben Bernanke wanted me to buy stuff. I did. How it helps our long-term economy is beyond me.

And lastly, if we ever move to an aluminum standard then I'm going to be set for life! I say this somewhat tongue in cheek of course.

Source Data:
USGS: Historical Mineral Statistics
St. Louis Fed: Total Credit Market Debt Owed

5 comments:

  1. BTW, nice stacking job on the foil.

    How did you decide to amortize the shelving costs? Straight-line per-unit division? By square-footage? Dollar weighted based on item's value?

    I assume you are planning to sell-off shelves as they empty. Did you account for that in your calculations?

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  2. AllanF,

    Thanks for noticing the earthquake resistant stacking configuration!

    As for the extra shelving costs due to hoarding, I opted to do follow the lead of American corporations.

    One-time non-recurring charge!!

    I'm not sure what I will do with the shelves 20+ years from now. Perhaps in my later years I will make one last mad dash to fill them ALL with canned goods, lol.

    I wish I was completely joking. I think there's at least 50% gallows humor here though.

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  3. I should also add that much of that aluminum was purchased over time using Costco coupons.

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  4. It seems like every once-crazy-sounding conspiracy theory is ultimately revealed to be true , the Libor scandal being just the latest example.

    So , what if the government really is controlling our thoughts thru electronic minipulation of our brain waves ? Maybe we all better start wearing tin-foil hats.

    You may have the raw material supplies for an exciting business opportunity !

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  5. Anonymous,

    Would the housing bubble have popped if every homeowner had wrapped their house in aluminum foil? I think not! ;)

    ReplyDelete