Monday, January 18, 2021

Earning $1 in Interest

 


This chart shows how many dollars we need to invest in 30-year Treasury bonds to earn $1 in annual interest. I have added a linear trend channel in red. It’s just another way to look at the chart in my last post.

To infinity and beyond! (Not joking. See German bonds below.)

It continues to be more and more difficult to make money off of money. Those betting on this long-term trend reversing anytime soon will most likely be sorely disappointed.

It’s not a bug. It’s a feature. Nearly infinite borrowing at 0% interest is seen as the least-worst option. We’ve been gliding on this path for decades. Not seeing much that can change the trajectory in my lifetime. (Keep in mind that at age 56, I’m not likely to be alive in 30 years.)

The German government sold 869 million euros of 30-year bonds with a negative yield, for the first time ever, adding to the world’s growing $15 trillion in existing negative yielding debt. - Patti Domm, CNBC, August 21, 2019

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