Friday, October 19, 2012

Exponential Trend Failures in Trading Volume

August 28, 2010
George Soros vs. Jeremy Siegel

There were quite a few charts within this post and I've been asked (by Jeff) if I would update them. Here you go!

Nasdaq


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Housing


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Gold


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Long-Term Treasuries


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Mid-Term Inflation Protected Treasuries


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Source Data:
Yahoo: Nasdaq Historical Prices
Yahoo: GLD Historical Prices
Yahoo: TLT Historical Prices
Yahoo: TIP Historical Prices
U.S. Census: New Residential Sales

7 comments:

  1. A lot of charts, a lot of work, and a lot of failed exponential trends.

    But what does it mean?

    Housing fell off a cliff from the burst bubble. Financial instruments have leveled off and/or declined. Is that because capital available for trading has leveled off?

    ReplyDelete
  2. But what does it mean? The peak of a Grand SuperCycle. It's all downhill from here.

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  3. But what does it mean?

    Pension funds are going to have a very difficult time meeting their 8% return targets?

    ReplyDelete
  4. Speaking of trend failures...

    Flashback to "Berserker"

    A parabolic cannonball into a frozen pool under the assumption that the ice would break under your weight?

    I think we know why it is called an ASSumption now, lol.

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  5. Better chance of the ice breaking than getting 8% returns.

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  6. TJandTheBear,

    If only Bernanke would set the inflation rate at 8%. We might have a chance then, lol. Sigh.

    ReplyDelete