Tuesday, November 27, 2012

Exponential Trend Failures of the Day


Click to enlarge.

The record was last set in October of 1978. Unless someone is going to push the record to 1,000 mph soon, I think it is relatively safe to say that we've had an exponential trend failure here.

Water Speed Record

With an approximate fatality rate of 85% since 1940, the record is one of the sporting world's most hazardous competitions.

This post inspired by Craig M. Brandenburg's following comment found here.

It still amazes me how so many economic charts hint at the conclusion that the United States' prosperity peaked at around the same time as domestic oil production peaked.

Check out the following chart in support of the theory. It shows inflation adjusted average hourly earnings of production and nonsupervisory manufacturing employees (October 2012 dollars).


Click to enlarge.

As seen in the chart, real manufacturing pay peaked in December of 1978. That's within two months of the last water speed record. Go figure.

5 comments:

  1. Feh. Coincides with the introduction of the personal computer.

    ReplyDelete
  2. Rob Dawg,

    You'd think all those personal computers could engineer a faster boat with stabilizers that could adapt in microseconds to the current water conditions.

    Well, either that or play Call of Duty: Black Ops II.

    Tough call!

    Call of Duty: Black Ops II

    Within 24 hours of going on sale, the game grossed over $500 million, beating 2011's Modern Warfare 3 to become the biggest entertainment launch of all time.

    ReplyDelete
  3. No, wait. I just realized something.

    The personal computers are actually being used to create exponential failure charts relating to our economy. My bad.

    ReplyDelete
  4. On today's durable goods:
    http://2.bp.blogspot.com/-6LMM-lj-ywE/ULUFUrC2Y_I/AAAAAAAAAlo/x4aLtZ-GINM/s1600/Cap+Goods+Recessions_0.png
    Something about lower lows and lower highs... I'll remember eventually. ;-)

    Strange thting about this chart. All the otther vertical lines have gray recession bars on them. This time must be different.

    ReplyDelete
  5. Rob Dawg,

    Strange thting about this chart. All the otther vertical lines have gray recession bars on them. This time must be different.

    Is it any wonder this chart isn't making the rounds on CNBC? It's too strange! ;)

    ReplyDelete