Thursday, November 29, 2012

Extreme Initial Claims Danger v.25


Click to enlarge.


Click to enlarge.

Want really extreme? I will be extremely surprised if we ever manage to resume that trend in red again. Sigh.

See Also:
Extreme Initial Claims Danger v.24

Source Data:
St. Louis Fed: Initial Claims
DOL: Initial Claims
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6 comments:

  1. Rob DawgNovember 29, 2012 at 6:18 PM

    The recession that should have started in June is here. It is almost as if the massive FedGov spending spree held it off until after the election. :tinfoil:

    ReplyDelete
  2. TJandTheBearNovember 29, 2012 at 6:58 PM

    The depression that should have started in 2009 is here... well, it never really left, but the Fed does a good job of painting over the dry rot.

    ReplyDelete
  3. Stagflationary MarkNovember 29, 2012 at 9:02 PM

    Rob Dawg,

    It is almost as if...

    The sarcasm must flow! ;)

    ReplyDelete
  4. Stagflationary MarkNovember 29, 2012 at 9:08 PM

    TJandTheBear,

    ...the Fed does a good job of painting over the dry rot.

    And let's not forget the Plaster of Paris!

    Sigh.

    ReplyDelete
  5. ScottNovember 29, 2012 at 9:41 PM

    http://www.mpettis.com/2012/10/27/when-the-growth-model-changes-abandon-the-correlations/

    I think you would enjoy this essay; Professor Pettis is reinforcing the idea of trend breakdowns.

    ReplyDelete
  6. Stagflationary MarkNovember 29, 2012 at 9:49 PM

    Scott,

    When the Growth Model Changes, Abandon the Correlations

    What a great start to an article. Yes!

    ReplyDelete