I live in the USA and I am concerned about the future. I created this blog to share my thoughts on the economy and anything else that might catch my attention.
Industrial Production Increased 0.9% in May
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From the Fed: Industrial Production and Capacity Utilization
*Industrial production rose 0.9 percent in May.* Manufacturing output
posted a similar gain of...
Going Short
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Well, that escalated quickly. I had already positioned defensively for
2024, overweight cash in a federal money market paying 5.2% (now 5.3%). I
still have...
NVIDIA Revisited
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On August 26, 2023, 5 days before it a new closing hi at 493.55, I wrote a
critical post about NVDA - the stock, not the company. After that, the
stoc...
Stay away from popular tech stocks, part II
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Last August, I wrote a blog post arguing that largest technology and
internet companies -- Amazon, Apple, Facebook, Google, Microsoft -- would
never grow i...
Updating the HF Indicators
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I posted this over on Seeking Alpha.
Not much good seems to be happening, and I am concerned about the low pace
of construction and a likely end to the sho...
Yes, Well, It's Still a Friday Night
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I doubt anyone is still reading the old stuff, but I have a quiet Friday
night and figured, why not a Friday Night Rock Blog?
I found this one recently (...
5 comments:
I nearly named this post...
When "Sure Things" Break
The data was following that blue trend line extremely predictably right up to the point it wasn't.
That's exactly how a complex system is supposed to break. Everything seems stable for a long time, stresses build up, then the catastrophe.
Here are more examples:
Avalanche
Earthquake
Volcanic Eruption
...
...
T-bill rates?
Who knows?
Mr Slippery,
Camel's back! ;)
I think T-Bill rates will show surprisingly strong resilience for at least a few more recessions.
Just an opinion!
Look at the raw data.
It's the damned Loch Ness Monster.
http://research.stlouisfed.org/fredgraph.png?g=cOf
JzB
Jazzbumpa,
Damn it! Gridlock-ness Monster! ;)
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