I live in the USA and I am concerned about the future. I created this blog to share my thoughts on the economy and anything else that might catch my attention.
Dr. Strange Move or How I Learned to Love the Bill
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After a couple of years of disinflation, the Fed changed directions and
started lowering rates. By most measures, the economy had been humming
along near a...
NVIDIA Revisited
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On August 26, 2023, 5 days before it a new closing hi at 493.55, I wrote a
critical post about NVDA - the stock, not the company. After that, the
stoc...
Stay away from popular tech stocks, part II
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Last August, I wrote a blog post arguing that largest technology and
internet companies -- Amazon, Apple, Facebook, Google, Microsoft -- would
never grow i...
So, Where Have I Been?
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Well, of course, I have been where I am!
It's been a good few years away from this blog. I do miss some folks
terrible, and I sort of miss things financial...
Those Whom The Gods Wish To Destroy ...
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they first make mad. Still true!!!
*(Note: this post, and probably several others to follow, are actually
about the US dollar and relative currency trends....
This is a continuation of the previous Flow of Funds Fun! post. I have extrapolated the trend lines out to the year 2011.
I thought it would be useful to see how long we'd need to stagnate in order to return to the mean. 2011 seems like a decent ball park estimate, assuming we started stagnating as of June 30, 2007 (the last data points in the chart above).
Of course, once we start stagnating it might take a long time to stop. As seen in the 1970s, we don't necessarily have to stop just because we've hit the mean.
Behold the flight [to quality] of the bumblebee!
Let's just hope there's a chair still available when the music stops. Unless I'm mistaken, there doesn't seem to be all that many chairs.
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