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I'm predicting a fixed rate of 0.0% and a composite rate of 4.6%.
In September 2010 the CPI-U was 218.439.
In March 2011 the CPI-U was 223.467.
That's a 2.30% increase over the six month period. Inflation has not been very tame.
Fixed rate = 0.00%
Semiannual inflation rate = 2.30%
Composite rate = [Fixed rate + (2 x Semiannual inflation rate) + (Fixed rate x Semiannual inflation rate)]
Composite rate = [0.0000 + (2 x 0.0230) + (0.0000 x 0.0230)]
Composite rate = [0.0000 + 0.0460 + 0.0000000]
Composite rate = 0.0460
Composite rate = 4.6%
Here is a list of reasons why I think the fixed rate portion will be 0.0%.
1. Duh!
In all seriousness, there is no way that they are going to offer a rate greater than 4.6% on these I-Bonds. No frickin' way.
See Also:
I-Bond Rate Prediction for November 1st
Source Data:
St. Louis Fed: CPI-U
I Savings Bonds Rates & Terms
Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: Existing-Home Sales Increased to
4.15 million SAAR in November
-
At the Calculated Risk Real Estate Newsletter this week:
[image: Existing Home Sales]*Click on graph for larger image.*
• NAR: Existing-Home Sales Increase...
17 hours ago
3 comments:
I want to also point out that the government knew that this day was coming.
December 3, 2007
Extremely Bad News for I-Bonds!
The reduction from the $30,000 annual limit in effect for both series since 2003 was made to refocus the savings bond program on its original purpose of making these non-marketable Treasury securities available to individuals with relatively small sums to invest.
This is entirely consistent with Alan Greenspan's remarks from 1966.
The financial policy of the welfare state requires that there be no way for the owners of wealth to protect themselves.
Thanks for this forecast. 4.6% sounds good until you realize that you are going to lose 4.6% to inflation.
Nowhere to hide.
Mr Slippery,
It isn't all bad.
You can't run, but you can't hide either.
Hey, just trying to put a positive spin on it, lol. Sigh.
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