Manufacturing Output

The following chart shows declining manufacturing employment (in red) vs. increasing manufacturing output per person (in black).


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What do you get when you multiply them together?


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The correct answer is total manufacturing output.

Our judges would have also accepted exponential trend failure, one @#$%ed up economy, and/or holy @#$%. Unfortunately, this is not a game show. This is real life. Sigh.

Source Data:
St. Louis Fed: Custom Chart
St. Louis Fed: Manufacturing Sector: Output

Rainbow Moon Review

Here's my take on it.

* Old school turn-based strategy RPG
* Zero bugs encountered so far (40+ hours)
* Great graphics
* Great music
* Tons of fun
* Just $14.99!

Real Federal Government Consumer Loans per Capita

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In my opinion, this exponential trend failure has a certain look of desperation about it.

This post inspired by Consumer Credit minus Federal Student Loans as seen at Dollar Death $piral.

Source Data:
FRB: Consumer Credit - G.19
St. Louis Fed: Population
St. Louis Fed: CPI

Economic Fear Driving Productivity

August 9, 2012
An Economist Explains How Fear Drives Productivity

Here’s a depressing thought: America’s productivity is rising on the backs of scared office workers.

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Note the two exponential trend failures. The first saw pessimistic exponential growth in layoffs and discharges. It eventually failed (after going parabolic!). The second saw optimistic exponential decay in layoffs and discharges. It too eventually failed.

I strongly believe that the next exponential trend on this chart will be one made of pessimism. I just can't say when it will happen. It might already be happening.


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When will the optimistic trend in quits fail too? I highly doubt that we will *ever* get back to 2.2% per month. Let's just put it that way.

Source Data:
St. Louis Fed: Layoffs and Discharges / All Employees
St. Louis Fed: Quits / All Employees

Arachnapocalypse

We're not known for our giant spiders in the Pacific Northwest. This one was hanging out on our garage door.

Initial Claims Danger v.9

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The battle between the red and blue trend lines continues.

See Also:
Initial Claims Danger v.8

Source Data:
St. Louis Fed: Initial Claims

Real Revolving Credit per Civilian Employed

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October 3, 2006
Godfather of '90s boom says he's bullish about the current market

Investors do seem edgy, and stocks could tumble with another spike in energy prices or worrisome economic news. Indeed, falling interest rates on long-term bonds suggest many bond investors think a recession is coming.

But Siegel says he's become more and more optimistic in recent weeks.

``The big fear that the economy is totally falling out of bed . . . I don't think that's going to materialize," he said.

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Source Data:
St. Louis Fed: Custom Chart
St. Louis Fed: DJIA

Real Shipments per Capita

The following chart shows real manufacturers' shipments for all manufacturing industries per capita (June 2012 dollars).


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Let us hold our breaths as we patiently await the return to $1,600 per month.

David Blaine: How I held my breath for 17 min


Source Data:
St. Louis Fed: Custom Chart