Wednesday, March 3, 2010

Overcapacity and the Baltic Dry Index

Baltic Drying Up as a Gauge

The Baltic Dry Index "will be less responsive to shifts in demand as the oversupply of vessels becomes more pronounced," said Plamen Natzkoff, dry bulk and freight strategist at Citigroup in London. While the index "will still reflect the supply-demand balance in the freight market," its worthiness as a wider-ranging indicator will be limited, he said.

The index for sanity checking global overcapacity is now itself suffering from global overcapacity.

Perhaps we need a Baltic Dry Index Buster Buster.

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