Thursday, March 29, 2012

Oil vs. Natural Gas

Check out the combination of rising oil prices and falling natural gas prices.

Click to enlarge.

Something tells me that the parabolic trend is not going to last forever. Brace for a future exponential trend failure.

Source Data:
St. Louis Fed: Custom Chart


Stagflationary Mark said...

Please note that I am in no way trying to imply the timing of the failure.

Troy said...

The cheap natural gas and high oil pricing is enabling the recovery from Canada's marginal stuff.

Converting to CNG is no picnic, alas.

The natgas oversupply now is strongly reminiscent of the 1980s glut -- pumpers had fixed costs to pay so had to sell at whatever the market would pay and try to make it up on volume, which of course pushed prices lower.

Alaska would have been well-advised to just leave their oil in the ground when they were getting only $10/bbl for it in the mid-80s, but they needed to pump -- that pipeline wasn't going to pay for itself.

Echo Boomer said...

I need to buy a natural gas vehicle. The dollars I would save!

Stagflationary Mark said...

My girlfriend has a few natural gas vehicles (otherwise known as horses, lol).