I live in the USA and I am concerned about the future. I created this blog to share my thoughts on the economy and anything else that might catch my attention.
Schedule for Week of February 23, 2025
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The key reports this week are January New Home sales, the second estimate
of Q4 GDP, Personal Income and Outlays for January, and Case-Shiller house
prices...
Predicting Gold Prices with SARIMAX
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*Not investment advice.*
I collected 54 years of gold price data from the St. Louis Fed starting
9/30/71 (end of the US federal government fiscal year afte...
NVIDIA Revisited
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On August 26, 2023, 5 days before it a new closing hi at 493.55, I wrote a
critical post about NVDA - the stock, not the company. After that, the
stoc...
Stay away from popular tech stocks, part II
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Last August, I wrote a blog post arguing that largest technology and
internet companies -- Amazon, Apple, Facebook, Google, Microsoft -- would
never grow i...
So, Where Have I Been?
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Well, of course, I have been where I am!
It's been a good few years away from this blog. I do miss some folks
terrible, and I sort of miss things financial...
Those Whom The Gods Wish To Destroy ...
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they first make mad. Still true!!!
*(Note: this post, and probably several others to follow, are actually
about the US dollar and relative currency trends....
You get an exponential fail from govt recpts alone - no denominator required - though that does make it more dramatic.
But - what is the point of the division? Govt receipts come from taxes and 1)tax rates are down, and 2) employment is down so people have less taxable income.
6 comments:
It's ALL an Illusion of Prosperity, dude. Don't you get it?
Fatboy,
illusio prosperitatis non grata
You get an exponential fail from govt recpts alone - no denominator required - though that does make it more dramatic.
But - what is the point of the division? Govt receipts come from taxes and 1)tax rates are down, and 2) employment is down so people have less taxable income.
There is no surprise here.
Am I missing something?
JzB
Should have linked the chart.
http://research.stlouisfed.org/fredgraph.png?g=7wY
JzB
Jazzbumpa,
My point is actually concerning the exponential rise in government receipts vs. wages over the years and its ultimate failure.
It's behaving like just like a laffer curve would predict.
Put another way, there was no chance this chart would hit 100%.
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