Saturday, October 1, 2011

New Home Price Trend Failure

Click to enlarge.

A picture's worth a thousand words.

Source Data:
U.S. Census: Retail Trade
St. Louis Fed: CPI


Troy said...

People think "inflation" will push up housing, like it did in the 1970s.

I'd like to think "inflation" will push down housing.

But this thesis is just applying theory and not referring to history, where cost inflation creates wage inflation which lifts all boats including housing.

Gen Y isn't getting any younger, and being a boomer echo it is pretty massive, compared to Gen X.

For a while both Gen Y and the boomers will be in the same housing market. This should introduce supply pressure, if household formation can ever get going again.

Stagflationary Mark said...


Even hyperinflation wouldn't be all that kind to homeowners as money would be diverted from rents into food. Many people can live in a single household in order to save money if basic necessities rise in price (especially if wages don't keep up).

No easy way out for what ails us.