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Expected Final Score: 600 to 0
25 seconds into the game, I saw the error of my folly. My model was breaking down! We were clearly losing momentum!
At halftime, I revised my estimate using a much larger data set. The score was 22 to 0 and the game was 50% complete.
Expected Final Score: 44 to 0
Imagine my surprise when Denver scored a touchdown. Nobody could have expected them to score, on a percentage basis, infinitely more points in the second half than in the first half! Black swan event!
Final Score: 43 to 8
Two linear trend failures and we still won? We sure dodged a bullet up here in Seattle. Nail biter to the very end! Whew!
Go Hawks! :)
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February 1, 2014
Record-setting offense why Broncos will win
EAST RUTHERFORD, N.J. — Denver was walloped 40-10 by Seattle in the preseason with Ronnie Hillman fumbling, Montee Ball stumbling and Peyton Manning grumbling.
The Broncos are a much different team now, one that should return to Colorado on Tuesday for a victory parade clutching their third Lombardi Trophy.
40 to 10?
43 to 8?
Yeah, much different. You can't compare 40 with 43 and 10 with 8 without realizing that these are four entirely different numbers.
Okay, now I'm just being mean. Sorry about that, lol. :)
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