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There's plenty of downside risk for auto manufacturers here. Have I mentioned lately that parabolic trends are not sustainable?
Source Data:
St. Louis Fed: Custom Chart
Q4 GDP Tracking: Mid 2% Range
-
From Goldman:
We left our *Q4 GDP tracking estimate unchanged at +2.4%
(quarter-over-quarter annualized)* but boosted our Q4 domestic final sales
forecas...
4 hours ago
3 comments:
In case you are interested...
I first tried a linear trend (most sustainable). That didn't fit all that well.
I then tried an exponential trend (less sustainable). That fit better but still didn't look quite right. It wasn't tracking the earliest periods or the latest periods all that well. The data was curving too much for it.
And lastly, I tried a parabolic trend (least sustainable). As seen in the chart, that one fits almost perfectly.
Maybe it isn't he numerator. Maybe it is what we count as a job these days.
Rob Dawg,
Perhaps the economy is filled with relatively uncounted professional eBay traders. *shrug shoulders*
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