We hit a new relative low on Monday in the 10-year TIPS real yield, but bounced off of it today (to ~1.58% according to
Bloomberg, not shown in the chart, as there is a one trading day lag in the data I'm using).
If the stock market continues higher, real yields will probably continue to move higher. If the stock market resumes its downward path (or simply stagnates), real yields will probably continue to decline.
As a stagflationist, I'm firmly in the death of real yields camp, at least long-term. I could be wrong of course!
See Also:
The Death of Real Yields v.4Source Data:
FRB: Selected Interest RatesTreasury Direct: I Savings Bonds Rates & Terms
No comments:
Post a Comment