I live in the USA and I am concerned about the future. I created this blog to share my thoughts on the economy and anything else that might catch my attention.
Wednesday: CPI
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[image: Mortgage Rates] Note: Mortgage rates are from MortgageNewsDaily.com
and are for top tier scenarios.
Wednesday:
• At 7:00 AM ET, The Mortgage Banker...
Quantifying Trickle Down in Real Average Earnings
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I studied a handful of economic measures to see their affect on Real
Average Earnings. I used the following series from the St. Louis Fed FRED
system:
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NVIDIA Revisited
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On August 26, 2023, 5 days before it a new closing hi at 493.55, I wrote a
critical post about NVDA - the stock, not the company. After that, the
stoc...
The treasury markets were orderly until August, 2007 (i.e., the can just sat there).
There were hints something was wrong on August 9, 2007 (i.e., the bullet was entering the can).
On August 20, 2007 ("credit crunch" day) things really came unglued (i.e., the bullet exited the can and the contents of the can became very visible to us).
It is late November. The contents of the can are still being revealed (and we still don't like what we are seeing). As the website Calculated Risk puts it, the confessional is now open.
In other words, treasury market order turned to chaos and order has yet to be restored. In my opinion, the volatility in the three month treasury bill vs. the fed funds rate shows a lot of confusion (as fear and greed fight it out).
2 comments:
OK Mark you got to explain the analogy a little more.
Thanks
tg,
The treasury markets were orderly until August, 2007 (i.e., the can just sat there).
There were hints something was wrong on August 9, 2007 (i.e., the bullet was entering the can).
On August 20, 2007 ("credit crunch" day) things really came unglued (i.e., the bullet exited the can and the contents of the can became very visible to us).
It is late November. The contents of the can are still being revealed (and we still don't like what we are seeing). As the website Calculated Risk puts it, the confessional is now open.
In other words, treasury market order turned to chaos and order has yet to be restored. In my opinion, the volatility in the three month treasury bill vs. the fed funds rate shows a lot of confusion (as fear and greed fight it out).
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