Thursday, August 30, 2012

Initial Claims Danger v.12


Click to enlarge.

Once again, here is a closer look.


Click to enlarge.

“The end is near. I hear a noise at the door, as of some immense slippery body lumbering against it. It shall not find me. God, that hand! The window! The window!” = H.P. Lovecraft

See Also:
Initial Claims Danger v.11

Source Data:
St. Louis Fed: Initial Claims

5 comments:

Stagflationary Mark said...

It's too soon for an exponential trend failure label, but my trigger finger is definitely twitching. Sigh.

Troy said...

http://research.stlouisfed.org/fred2/graph/?g=9Zu

% chance starting a claim

New normal I guess. The good-times of the 1990s and 2000s may not come back.

At least we had good timing for our careers.

Actually as I've said I think if Romney wins they'll be able to spin the wheel one more time for everyone.

Not sure how, but the government can be very, very powerful when it desires to be.

Stagflationary Mark said...

Troy,

Actually as I've said I think if Romney wins they'll be able to spin the wheel one more time for everyone.

Not sure how, but the government can be very, very powerful when it desires to be.


Give me four years' time - 1937

I'm not comparing Romney to Hitler by the way. I'm simply backing your point that government can be very, very powerful when it desires to be.

Troy said...

This $800B/yr military ain't going to pay for itself!

Like Nazi Germany in the 1930s, gotta use it or lose it!

We need to pay 6% income taxes just for our military expense:

http://research.stlouisfed.org/fred2/graph/?g=9ZI

Somehow I doubt that came up in Ryan's speech last night.

Another 18% for social benefits:

http://research.stlouisfed.org/fred2/graph/?g=9ZJ

Total gov't expense in green:

http://research.stlouisfed.org/fred2/graph/?g=9ZL

Ain't nobody got time for 40% tax burdens, LOL.

Stagflationary Mark said...

Troy,

David Weber probably nailed it in 1993.