Friday, January 31, 2014

Real Annual Disposable Personal Income per Capita Growth


Click to enlarge.

Who could have guessed that declining real interest rates could eventually lead to less real income growth?

Source Data:
St. Louis Fed: Custom Chart

11 comments:

Nathan said...

No "Turning Japanese" musical tribute?

Anyway, this trend seems very bullish for mortgage rates, consumer discretionary sales and MyRA retirement account contributions.

Stagflationary Mark said...

Nathan,

No "Turning Japanese" musical tribute?

I think that one's been done to death (of yields ;)).

Anyway, this trend seems very bullish for mortgage rates, consumer discretionary sales and MyRA retirement account contributions.

I think the key to future prosperity will involve borrowing money at 10% on credit cards and reinvesting that money tax free in treasury bills paying 0%.

I also believe that the earth is not flat but rather a cube with each side having one to six circular indenations in it (presumably from asteroid strikes in the distant past). That's just how I roll. ;)

Stagflationary Mark said...

Indentations!

Oops.

mab said...

Who could have guessed that declining real interest rates could eventually lead to less real income growth?

I've heard that there's a moonshiner in the Ozarks that understands it all.

Anyhow, I'm just glad that we have and "independent" Federal Reserve! Ya know, one that's unaccountable and able to ignore its actual mandate(s). And one that can effectively use doublespeak - like rising prices are actually stable prices.

If the bond vigilantes ever start to believe our Fed isn't independent, interest rates will be in for some serious whoop @ss!


Stagflationary Mark said...

mab,

And one that can effectively use doublespeak...

The First Two Rules of Fed Bubble Doublespeak

1. There is no bubble to go bust.
2. THERE IS NO BUBBLE TO GO BUST!!

mab said...

"I don't know what you mean by 'glory,' " Alice said.
Humpty Dumpty smiled contemptuously. "Of course you don't—till I tell you. I meant 'there's a nice knock-down argument for you!' "
"But 'glory' doesn't mean 'a nice knock-down argument'," Alice objected.
"When I use a word," Humpty Dumpty said, in rather a scornful tone, "it means just what I choose it to mean—neither more nor less."
"The question is," said Alice, "whether you can make words mean so many different things."
"The question is," said Humpty Dumpty, "which is to be master—that's all."
- Lewis Carroll, Through the Looking Glass

Stagflationary Mark said...

mab,

"The question is," said Alice, "whether you can make words mean so many different things."

The stock market is tankin'.

Roarin' across an endless field of prosperity like a heavily amored vehicle capable of withstanding great punishment in a most resilient way!

What did you think I meant? ;)

Jazzbumpa said...

Who could have guessed that declining real interest rates could eventually lead to less real income growth?

Anyone who's been paying attention for the last 30 years.

http://research.stlouisfed.org/fred2/graph/?g=ryT

Cheers!
JzB

Stagflationary Mark said...

Jazzbumpa,

$12.2 Trillion earning 0.084%! Woohoo! ;)

Jazzbumpa said...

Inspiring, isn't it.

Stagflationary Mark said...

Jazzbumpa,

As a long-term saver concerned about the long-term future of long-term interest rates, it did inspire me to start this blog in 2007.

So, yeah. Inspiring! Hahaha! Sigh.