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Click to enlarge.
Mere words cannot do the trend line in blue justice.
Source Data:
St. Louis Fed: Industrial Production: Durable Materials
Ten Economic Questions for 2025
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Here is a review of the Ten Economic Questions for 2024.
Below are my ten questions for 2025 (I've been doing this online every year
for 20 years!). These...
1 hour ago
9 comments:
Note that the "sure thing" exponential trend in blue broke spectacularly even with an r-squared of 0.992.
Overlay inflation on top of a best fit sigmoid curve function.
Rob Dawg,
It certainly has that look about it.
Something about diminishing returns... I'll remember eventually.
Rob Dawg,
Diminishing returns you say.
Inflation Adjusted S&P 500 Index (October 2012 Dollars)
2nd attempt's the charm hopefully.
(It does not include dividends.)
It does not include index component or weighting substitutions either. An important consideration for longer time series.
Rob Dawg,
Welcome to the new century.
Home of the "survivor ships"!
Sigh.
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