Thursday, November 29, 2012

Extreme Initial Claims Danger v.25


Click to enlarge.


Click to enlarge.

Want really extreme? I will be extremely surprised if we ever manage to resume that trend in red again. Sigh.

See Also:
Extreme Initial Claims Danger v.24

Source Data:
St. Louis Fed: Initial Claims
DOL: Initial Claims

6 comments:

Rob Dawg said...

The recession that should have started in June is here. It is almost as if the massive FedGov spending spree held it off until after the election. :tinfoil:

TJandTheBear said...

The depression that should have started in 2009 is here... well, it never really left, but the Fed does a good job of painting over the dry rot.

Stagflationary Mark said...

Rob Dawg,

It is almost as if...

The sarcasm must flow! ;)

Stagflationary Mark said...

TJandTheBear,

...the Fed does a good job of painting over the dry rot.

And let's not forget the Plaster of Paris!

Sigh.

Scott said...

http://www.mpettis.com/2012/10/27/when-the-growth-model-changes-abandon-the-correlations/

I think you would enjoy this essay; Professor Pettis is reinforcing the idea of trend breakdowns.

Stagflationary Mark said...

Scott,

When the Growth Model Changes, Abandon the Correlations

What a great start to an article. Yes!