Thursday, November 29, 2012

Extreme Initial Claims Danger v.25

Click to enlarge.

Click to enlarge.

Want really extreme? I will be extremely surprised if we ever manage to resume that trend in red again. Sigh.

See Also:
Extreme Initial Claims Danger v.24

Source Data:
St. Louis Fed: Initial Claims
DOL: Initial Claims


Rob Dawg said...

The recession that should have started in June is here. It is almost as if the massive FedGov spending spree held it off until after the election. :tinfoil:

TJandTheBear said...

The depression that should have started in 2009 is here... well, it never really left, but the Fed does a good job of painting over the dry rot.

Stagflationary Mark said...

Rob Dawg,

It is almost as if...

The sarcasm must flow! ;)

Stagflationary Mark said...


...the Fed does a good job of painting over the dry rot.

And let's not forget the Plaster of Paris!


Scott said...

I think you would enjoy this essay; Professor Pettis is reinforcing the idea of trend breakdowns.

Stagflationary Mark said...


When the Growth Model Changes, Abandon the Correlations

What a great start to an article. Yes!