I live in the USA and I am concerned about the future. I created this blog to share my thoughts on the economy and anything else that might catch my attention.
The Normal Seasonal Change for Median House Prices
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Earlier, in the CalculatedRisk Real Estate Newsletter on January existing
home sales, NAR: Existing-Home Sales Decreased to 4.08 million SAAR in
January, I...
Predicting Gold Prices with SARIMAX
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*Not investment advice.*
I collected 54 years of gold price data from the St. Louis Fed starting
9/30/71 (end of the US federal government fiscal year afte...
NVIDIA Revisited
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On August 26, 2023, 5 days before it a new closing hi at 493.55, I wrote a
critical post about NVDA - the stock, not the company. After that, the
stoc...
Stay away from popular tech stocks, part II
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Last August, I wrote a blog post arguing that largest technology and
internet companies -- Amazon, Apple, Facebook, Google, Microsoft -- would
never grow i...
So, Where Have I Been?
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Well, of course, I have been where I am!
It's been a good few years away from this blog. I do miss some folks
terrible, and I sort of miss things financial...
Those Whom The Gods Wish To Destroy ...
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they first make mad. Still true!!!
*(Note: this post, and probably several others to follow, are actually
about the US dollar and relative currency trends....
A fair share of this decline is from reductions in bank operations. Particulary in areas like check processing where the Fed eliminated 30+ processing sites during this period.
"The changes we have implemented to our paper check infrastructure position us well to continue to meet the needs of the nation's payments system. At the same time, they have been difficult for our organization as we have been required to reduce our staff."
In any event, ZIRP and QE did not exactly halt the decline. Technological progress within the Federal Reserve has destroyed Federal Reserve jobs.
Over the long-term, we better hope that more jobs are created elsewhere than are destroyed. Over complete business cycles, I remain very skeptical. Sigh.
I'm not sure that's true, at least not without retraining. Perhaps it isn't too late to invest in nail polishing schools!
In all seriousness, I do not expect the nail salon trend to continue forever. Like every other exponential trend I follow, it is a mathematical certainty that it will fail. The timing, on the other hand, is very difficult to determine in advance. Sigh.
4 comments:
A fair share of this decline is from reductions in bank operations. Particulary in areas like check processing where the Fed eliminated 30+ processing sites during this period.
Anonymous,
Thanks for sharing that!
March 2, 2010
Federal Reserve Banks Complete Check Processing Infrastructure Changes
"The changes we have implemented to our paper check infrastructure position us well to continue to meet the needs of the nation's payments system. At the same time, they have been difficult for our organization as we have been required to reduce our staff."
In any event, ZIRP and QE did not exactly halt the decline. Technological progress within the Federal Reserve has destroyed Federal Reserve jobs.
Over the long-term, we better hope that more jobs are created elsewhere than are destroyed. Over complete business cycles, I remain very skeptical. Sigh.
As you've pointed out recently, nail salon employment can soak the Central Bank discards right up!
-psychodave
pscychodave,
I'm not sure that's true, at least not without retraining. Perhaps it isn't too late to invest in nail polishing schools!
In all seriousness, I do not expect the nail salon trend to continue forever. Like every other exponential trend I follow, it is a mathematical certainty that it will fail. The timing, on the other hand, is very difficult to determine in advance. Sigh.
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