The alarm bells begin to ring in China
Between January and October, China’s statistical bureau recorded $1.2 trillion (£580 billion) of industrial spending. During the same period, lenders in America were slamming the door on their customers, cancelling credit cards, demanding the keys to homes, apartments and trailers. The message from the banks is clear: the party is over. Still, China’s factory floorspace continues to grow. You have to ask the question: who will buy the stuff?
The Pollyanna economists think it is all different now, a view espoused by the World Bank in its most recent report on East Asian economic growth. China is creating its own demand, “decoupling” from the US economy, it says.
In my opinion, the global economy has never been more coupled than it is right now.
Q1 GDP Tracking: Movin' on Up
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From BofA:
Since our update last week, *1Q GDP tracking is up two-tenths to 2.1% q/q
saar*. [Apr 19th estimate]
emphasis added
From Goldman:
We left ou...
6 hours ago
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