Monday, October 5, 2015

Interest Rates Rise as Interest Rates Not Expected to Rise

October 5, 2015
Stocks jump as expectations ease of U.S. rate hike; oil gains

1. Stocks are rising because interest rates are not expected to rise.

October 5, 2015
BOND REPORT: Treasurys Under Selling Pressure, As Global Stocks Rally

2. Interest rates are rising as stocks are rising.

Therefore, interest rates are rising as interest rates are not expected to rise.

Put another way, it's safe to sell bonds to buy stocks as long as interest rates stay low. Interest rates will stay low as long as investors don't sell bonds to buy stocks.

Hey, don't blame the messenger if this twisted logic all seems a tad bit circular. I'm just trying to make sense of the headlines. ;)

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