I live in the USA and I am concerned about the future. I created this blog to share my thoughts on the economy and anything else that might catch my attention.
Tuesday: U.S. Election, Trade Deficit, ISM Services
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[image: Mortgage Rates] From Matthew Graham at Mortgage News Daily: Mortgage
Rates Start Week Slightly Lower as Election Volatility Works Both Ways
Love it...
Going Short
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Well, that escalated quickly. I had already positioned defensively for
2024, overweight cash in a federal money market paying 5.2% (now 5.3%). I
still have...
NVIDIA Revisited
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On August 26, 2023, 5 days before it a new closing hi at 493.55, I wrote a
critical post about NVDA - the stock, not the company. After that, the
stoc...
Stay away from popular tech stocks, part II
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Last August, I wrote a blog post arguing that largest technology and
internet companies -- Amazon, Apple, Facebook, Google, Microsoft -- would
never grow i...
Updating the HF Indicators
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I posted this over on Seeking Alpha.
Not much good seems to be happening, and I am concerned about the low pace
of construction and a likely end to the sho...
Yes, Well, It's Still a Friday Night
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I doubt anyone is still reading the old stuff, but I have a quiet Friday
night and figured, why not a Friday Night Rock Blog?
I found this one recently (...
This is a chart of the growth in those not working (those not in labor force plus those unemployed). It uses the change over the previous three months and then annualizes that change to show the annual rate. The shaded area represents our last recession. The trend line is a 4th order polynomial.
Once again, if accurately predicting the future using past data was this trivial, I would certainly find more profitable ways to spend my time than filling blogspace with my thoughts, lol.
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