Sunday, May 1, 2016

Five Better Steps to Beating the Market from 1928 to 2015

April 27, 2016
MarketWatch: Five steps to beating the market

From 1928 to 2015...

If you are going to use some of the data from 1928 to 2015 to beat the market from 1928 to 2015, then why not use all of the data?

1. Get out of the market entirely just before the Great Depression hits.
2. Invest in the industrial military complex heading into World War 2.
3. Own gold and silver when Richard Nixon, Gerald Ford, Jimmy Carter, and George W. Bush are presidents.
4. Buy Haliburton in 2002 at $10 per share, but sell it for $70 the instant Vice President Dick Cheney accidentally shoots his buddy in 2006 with a shotgun while quail hunting. Lock in those massive profits! Woohoo!
5. Get out of the market entirely, again, just before the Great Recession hits.

If you follow these steps, I guarantee that you will cleanup! Just be sure not to forget what I taught you, should you ever be transported back to 1928 in a time machine.

Using history to predict history, baby. That's what I'm talking about. Sure thing. Can't lose. And it's so easy that anyone can do it. ;)


Stagflationary Mark said...

Why do people scoff at a weather prediction that's just 10 days out but embrace a stock market prediction that's 30 years out?

Who Struck John said...

Probably for the same reason they embrace a climate prediction that's 100 years out but has a poor forecast accuracy over the last 25 years.

Stagflationary Mark said...

Who Struck John,

Here's a prediction typed from my iPhone. ;)

There's no chance that the iPhone is going to get any significant market share. No chance. - Steve Ballmer, 2007