I live in the USA and I am concerned about the future. I created this blog to share my thoughts on the economy and anything else that might catch my attention.
The "Home ATM" Mostly Closed in Q3
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Today, in the Calculated Risk Real Estate Newsletter: The "Home ATM" Mostly
Closed in Q3
A brief excerpt:
During the housing bubble, many homeowners borr...
Silver Deep Dive
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Silver had a memorable year (+148%). Some of this can be explained by a
decline in the dollar. I decided to do some ML analysis to look for other
insights....
Another look a NVDA
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I've looked at NVDA a couple times, in *August 2023 *and *January 2024*.
On Saturday 8/26/23 I said the action in NVDA stock looked like it was
topping....
The Fed Is Attempting to Use Green Day Playbook Again (Musical Tribute)
Summer has come and passed
The innocent can never last
Wake me up when September ends
Like my fathers come to pass
Seven years has gone so fast
Wake me up when September ends
Here comes the rain again
Falling from the stars
Drenched in my pain again
Becoming who we are
As my memory rests
But never forgets what I lost
Wake me up when September ends
In summary, the Fed really hopes ZIRP can never last. After seven years of it, they would really like to raise rates in September. In order to raise rates in September, they will rationalize falling commodity prices as transient. There may be pain again, especially for the investors who can't remember what they lost the last time the Fed raised rates.
Wake me up when September ends. Let's hope it goes better than the last time the Fed used the Green Day playbook. We certainly do not want to see another boulevard of broken dreams fiasco.
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